Jeremy Lin has been playing Point Guard at a Hall-of-Fame level *updated*
30 turnovers in his first 5 games as a starter. Not a very illustrious record to set if you're trying to make it in this league as a facilitator. A 1.74 assist to turnover ratio is not something you typically want to see from your point guard. And yet despite his seeming recklessness with the rock, there is no doubt that Lin has elevated the offensive play of his teammates immeasurably.
| Rk | Player | Age | Tm | G | MP | PER | TS% | eFG% | ORB% | DRB% | TRB% | AST% ▾ | STL% | BLK% | TOV% | USG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Nash | 37 | PHO | 26 | 820 | 23.2 | .646 | .618 | 1.0 | 8.1 | 4.6 | 58.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 24.4 | 21.4 |
| 2 | Jeremy Lin | 23 | NYK | 15 | 292 | 24.6 | .572 | .507 | 3.1 | 10.2 | 6.5 | 48.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 18.8 | 31.8 |
| 3 | Rajon Rondo | 25 | BOS | 19 | 700 | 18.9 | .531 | .498 | 4.5 | 11.3 | 8.0 | 46.8 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 22.4 | 22.5 |
| 4 | Jose Calderon | 30 | TOR | 30 | 1015 | 17.6 | .557 | .527 | 1.8 | 9.8 | 5.8 | 46.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 17.0 | 16.4 |
| 5 | Deron Williams | 27 | NJN | 28 | 1039 | 20.1 | .531 | .469 | 1.5 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 45.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 17.7 | 29.7 |
| 6 | Chris Paul | 26 | LAC | 21 | 750 | 26.8 | .597 | .552 | 2.1 | 10.1 | 6.1 | 44.7 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 11.9 | 22.7 |
| 7 | Ricky Rubio | 21 | MIN | 29 | 1011 | 16.2 | .495 | .415 | 1.1 | 12.8 | 7.0 | 40.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 22.7 | 18.0 |
| 8 | Tony Parker | 29 | SAS | 29 | 975 | 21.5 | .514 | .460 | 1.4 | 8.3 | 4.9 | 39.7 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 12.0 | 28.1 |
| 9 | Ramon Sessions | 25 | CLE | 26 | 645 | 15.5 | .483 | .389 | 2.4 | 12.8 | 7.5 | 38.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 17.3 | 22.8 |
| 10 | Derrick Rose | 23 | CHI | 23 | 817 | 24.9 | .560 | .501 | 2.1 | 8.6 | 5.5 | 38.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 12.7 | 28.9 |
Provided by Basketball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 2/15/2012.
Yes, that is Jeremy Lin in 2nd for assist percentage behind the great Steve Nash, who is having a hell of a season. For those of you who don't know, assist percentage measures how many of his teammate's baskets a PG has assisted on. It tells you a bit more about the quality of play of a point guard than simple assists per game or assists per 36, as it is less dependent on the ability of surrounding talent, describing the player's role within the offense instead. Half of the time somebody besides Lin has put the ball in the basket, it was off of a pass from Jeremy. You may be wondering what the significance of a 48% assist percentage is. If Lin were to maintain that for an entire season it would rank 23rd all time, between two nobodies named John Stockton and Isiah Thomas (Nash's would be first all-time by a sliver). That's pretty beast. Lin's assist totals remain relatively low because the teammates he's been passing to have not exactly been dropping 40 every game, but you can tell from his assist percentage that they are kinda lost without him.
(In case you're wondering, the top 5 career leaders in AST%: Stockton: 50.2%, CP3 46.5%, DWill 42.4%, Nash 41.6%, Magic 40.9%. There's a little more to AST% besides being a good point guard, but it certainly friggin helps)
That's not the only note of interest however. See TOV%? That is the percentage of plays a player makes that result in a turnover. It's understandable that good PGs who have high AST% also have high TOV% - the more you facilitate, the more likely your passes are to be snatched up. John Stockton's career TOV% is 20.8. You should also consider this when you wonder why Chris Paul, Tony Parker, and Derrick Rose are comparatively low in AST% despite being tremendous point guards - they are masters of ball security and it is reflected in their low TOV%. Lin has not done much worse taking care of the ball than Deron Williams and he's actually been somewhat better at it than Nash, Rondo, and Rubio.
So why does he have so many turnovers? His usage rate is the highest of all the point guards on the list; in fact, he's 5th among all players, ahead of Kevin Durant, and just a bit behind Carmelo and Lebron. He's been relied upon to make plays for and carry this team almost all the time he's on the floor, and he's been on that floor a disproportionate amount of the time compared to his teammates. This naturally results in more turnovers. Factor in the fatigue involved with such high minutes and usage and the turnover situation can seem to get a little out of control. As a result, you end up with a stinky Assist:Turnover ratio despite good play. Now, that isn't to say that Lin couldn't be doing more to rein his TO's in, as he certainly plays aggressively and sometimes, recklessly. But he isn't as bad as simply looking at the number of turnovers would suggest. He's been pretty damn good. Hope he keeps it up. If he can, those Stockton and Nash comparisons might not be so ridiculous after all.
SMALL UPDATE: I just noticed something very interesting. If you look at Lin's AST% at Harvard, he had about a 30.8 AST% his junior and senior year. Not bad numbers, but not really that great either. If this makes you concerned that Lin won't be able to keep up his AST%, don't be. Know who else posted around a 30 AST% before he started for an NBA team? Steve Nash. His AST% remained low his first few years in Phoenix and Dallas. When he began starting for a full season his AST% improved quite a bit, but remained in the mid-to-high 30s. His AST% skyrocketed to an exceptional 49.2% his first season on D'Antoni's Suns.
Nash's AST% during his first two years with Phoenix and career with Dallas: 33%. Eh.
His AST% since he began running D'Antoni's system: 48.6%. Freaking incredible. Hm. 48% AST. I wonder where else I've seen that...
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Wonderful post
Thank you for clearing up AST% for me.
I knew Lin was Lincredible, but now I have a better understanding as to why!
"Yeah, come on and let the good times roll
We're gonna stay here till we soothe our souls
If it take all night long"
Another nice post
Keep it up man, rec’d
New York Knicks = Sleeping Giants
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Nice stat breakdown. Lin is really looking good.
On another note: How damn impressive is Steve Nash??? AT 37 years old to playing at such a high level is really amazing. Too bad he’s stuck out in Phoenix.
He really is an all-timer, but it's insane how much D'Antoni's system improved his game
He was good-to-all-star level before joining Phoenix in terms of passing. Ever since he’s elevated to one of the greatest of all time. D’Antoni deserves a lot of credit. His system is amazing when you have the right kind of player running it. Jeremy Lin’s combination of intelligence, effort, penetration ability and pick and roll ability make him an absolutely perfect fit. We should keep D’Antoni and Lin for the forseeable future.
by SweatbandProliferation on Feb 16, 2012 12:37 PM EST up reply actions
racist
Last night, a comedian died in New York. Somebody knows why. Somebody knows
by Rorschach44 on Feb 18, 2012 12:34 PM EST up reply actions
Ha! I just realized something a bit embarassing
Of course Lin’s usage rate appears high along with having many turnovers, because turnovers are included in the calculation. However, it is also true that in his career so far Lin’s turnover frequency has correlated his number of field goal attempts per game. My A/TO breakdown is a bit more in depth on this
by SweatbandProliferation on Feb 17, 2012 7:02 PM EST reply actions
AST% at Harvard
At Harvard, Lin was primarily a shooting guard (in an interview he said he was adjusting to playing point at Golden State). That might explain the lower AST% at Harvard.
by Candycane Lane on Feb 19, 2012 11:17 PM EST reply actions

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