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Breaking down the Knicks' draft lottery odds

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Fun with percentages!

Any lottery column I do from here on out will feature Lucky Dave DeBusschere
Any lottery column I do from here on out will feature Lucky Dave DeBusschere
Manny Rubio-USA TODAY Sports

Hey there, all you sucka emcees. The Knicks season is officially over, which means no more worrying about lottery odds. We now know what the odds will be, and there ain't a damn thing Tim Hardaway Jr. can do to change them anymore!

And they go a little something like this...KICK IT:

  • 1st overall: 19.9%
  • 2nd overall: 18.8%
  • 3rd overall: 17.1%
  • 4th overall: 31.9%
  • 5th overall: 12.3%

If you had to bet on individual slots, the smart money is on the Knicks picking fourth. That would mean the Timberwolves won a spot in the top 3 but the Knicks did not. To end up picking fifth, both the Knicks and Wolves would have to be shut out, which is statistically unlikely (in other words, it's probably gonna happen).

In terms of simply landing in the lottery, the Knicks have a 55.8% chance of landing one of the first three picks. That's certainly nothing to sneeze at.

While none of the top players truly stand out to me once you get past Karl-Anthony Towns, I firmly believe that this draft goes at least six deep with amazing prospects. Even if the Knicks should draw the short end of the stick and draft fifth -- God forbid -- they are going to get themselves a damn good player.

Now if they can only learn how to develop him...